Ngokombiko wocwaningo we-CICC, kusukela ngekota yesibili, ukukhathazeka ngengozi yokuhlinzekwa okuhlobene neRussia ne-Ukraine kumisiwe, i-Europe ne-United States bangene ohlelweni "lokwenyuka kwezinga lenzalo", futhi isidingo kwezinye izimboni zaphesheya seziqalile. ukwenza buthaka.Ngesikhathi esifanayo, ukusetshenziswa kwasekhaya, ukukhiqiza kanye nemisebenzi yokwakha iye yaphazanyiswa yilolu bhubhane., izintengo zensimbi ezingenayo insimbi zehla.Engxenyeni yesibili yonyaka, isidingo sengqalasizinda yaseShayina nemikhakha yezokwakha singathuthuka, kodwa kunzima ukuqeda ubuthakathaka besidingo sangaphandle.Ukwehla kokukhula kwesidingo somhlaba wonke kungase kuholele ekwehleni kwenani lezinsimbi eziyisisekelo.Kodwa-ke, esikhathini esimaphakathi nesikhathi eside, ukushintshwa kwamandla kuzoqhubeka nokufaka isandla ekwandeni kwesidingo sezinsimbi ezingenayo insimbi.
I-CICC ikholelwa ukuthi kufanele kubhekwe ukunakekelwa okwengeziwe mayelana nomphumela wokwenyuka kwezinga lenzalo phesheya kwezilwandle ekukhuphukeni kwamandla emali engxenyeni yesibili yonyaka, okubalulekile ekunqumeni ukuthi umnotho waphesheya kwezilwandle uzowela “ekubhebhethekeni” ngonyaka ozayo noma esikhathini esizayo kanye ubude besikhathi sokucindezela kokufunwa.Emakethe yasekhaya, nakuba isidingo sokuqedwa kwezindlu ezithengiswayo singathuthuka engxenyeni yesibili yonyaka, uma kucatshangelwa ukuthi izinga lokukhula kwezakhiwo ezintsha liqala e-China lehle kakhulu kusukela ngo-2020, isidingo sokuqedwa kwezindlu ezithengiswayo singase sibe sibi 2023, futhi umbono kunzima ukusho ukuthi unethemba.Ukwengeza, ubungozi bohlangothi lokuhlinzekwa komhlaba wonke abuphelanga, njengezehlakalo ze-geopolitical, ukwanda kwezithiyo zohwebo, kanye nokwenyuka kokuvikelwa kwezinsiza, kodwa amathuba okuba nezimo ezimbi kakhulu ancishisiwe, futhi umthelela ezintweni eziyisisekelo zempahla ungase ube buthaka kancane.Lokhu kucatshangelwa kwesikhathi esimaphakathi neside kungase futhi kube nomthelela ekulindelweni kwezimakethe kanye nezitayela zamanani engxenyeni yesibili yonyaka.
Mayelana nethusi, i-CICC ikholelwa ukuthi ngokusho kweshidi lebhalansi yokunikezwa kwethusi kanye nesidingo, isikhungo senani lentengo yethusi sivame ukwehla engxenyeni yesibili yonyaka.Uma ubheka ukutholakala okuqinile kwezimayini ezintsha zethusi, uhla oluphansi lwentengo yethusi lusazogcina i-premium yethusi engaba ngu-30% uma kuqhathaniswa nezindleko zemali zezimayini zethusi, igebe phakathi kokuhlinzeka nokufunwa linciphile, futhi amanani asengase ehle. ingxenye yesibili yonyaka.Mayelana ne-aluminium, ukusekelwa kwezindleko kusebenza kahle, kodwa ukunyuka kwentengo kungase kukhawulwe engxenyeni yesibili yonyaka.Phakathi kwazo, ukuphindaphindeka kwezintengo ze-aluminium kuzodonselwa phansi yizo zombili izici zokuhlinzeka nezidingo.Ngakolunye uhlangothi, ukwanda kwamandla okukhiqiza kwe-China kanye nokulindelwe ukuqalisa kabusha kokukhiqiza kungase kucindezele ukukhuphuka kwentengo.Ngakolunye uhlangothi, nakuba kulindeleke ukuthi imisebenzi yokwakha yaseChina ingase ikhule engxenyeni yesibili yonyaka.Ukuphindaphinda kuzoholela ezintweni eziyisisekelo ezingcono, kodwa umbono wokuphothulwa kanye nesidingo sokwakha ngonyaka ozayo awunathemba ngokuhamba kwesikhathi.Mayelana nezingozi zokuhlinzekwa, nakuba izici eziyingozi ziqhubeka zikhona, umthelela ongase ube khona ulinganiselwe uma kuqhathaniswa: Okokuqala, amathuba okunciphisa ukukhiqizwa kwe-RUSAL aphansi, futhi nakuba kusekhona ingozi yokunciphisa umkhiqizo eYurophu, inani lilonke lingase libe ngaphansi. kunalokho ekupheleni konyaka odlule.Ukuncishiswa kokukhiqiza okugxilile kwehle kakhulu, futhi umthelela ezintweni eziyisisekelo nawo uthambekele ekubeni buthaka.
Isikhathi sokuthumela: Jul-01-2022